Ko te rohe e pikau ana i te taumaha o ngā kaweake i te tau 2024 ko Āhia ki te Tonga-mā-rāwhiti, nō reira ko Āhia ki te Tonga-mā-rāwhiti te kaupapa matua i roto i te tirohanga mō te tau 2025. I roto i te rarangi kaweake ā-rohe i te tau 2024, ko Āhia ki te Tonga-mā-rāwhiti te tūranga tuatahi mō te LLDPE, te LDPE, te momo tuatahi o te PP, me te poraka copolymerization, arā, ko Āhia ki te Tonga-mā-rāwhiti te ūnga kaweake matua mō te 4 o ngā kāwai matua e 6 o ngā hua polyolefin.
Ngā Painga: He rohe wai a Āhia ki te Tonga-mā-rāwhiti me Haina, ā, he roa te hītori o te mahi tahi. I te tau 1976, i hainatia e ASEAN te Tiriti o te Aroha me te Mahi Tahi i Āhia ki te Tonga-mā-rāwhiti hei whakatairanga i te rangimārie tuturu, te whakahoahoa me te mahi tahi i waenga i ngā whenua o te rohe, ā, i uru mana a Haina ki te Tiriti i te 8 o Oketopa, 2003. Nā ngā whanaungatanga pai i whakatakoto te turanga mō te hokohoko. Tuarua, i Āhia ki te Tonga-mā-rāwhiti i ngā tau tata nei, haunga a Vietnam Longshan Petrochemical, he iti noa ngā tipu polyolefin nui kua whakatūria ki te mahi, ā, e matapaetia ana ka noho iti tonu i roto i ngā tau torutoru e whai ake nei, ka whakaiti i ngā āwangawanga tuku, ā, ka roa te noho o tōna āputa tono. Ko Āhia ki te Tonga-mā-rāwhiti hoki te rohe e pai ana mō te whakapiki ake i ngā kaweake hua a ngā kaihokohoko Hainamana, me te pumau pai.
Ngā Huakore: Ahakoa he pai te noho tahi a Āhia ki te Tonga-mā-rāwhiti me Haina whānui, kāore e taea te karo i ngā raruraru iti o te rohe. Mō ngā tau maha, kua whakapau kaha a Haina ki te whakatairanga i te Ture Whakahaere i te Moana Haina ki te Tonga kia mau ai ngā painga o ngā rōpū katoa. Tuarua, kei te piki haere te kaupapa tiaki hokohoko puta noa i te ao, pērā i a Indonesia i te tīmatanga o Hakihea i whakarewahia ai e rātou ngā rangahau ārai-tuku i ngā polypropylene homopolymers mai i Saudi Arabia, Philippines, South Korea, Malaysia, Haina, Singapore, Thailand me Vietnam. Ko te kaupapa nei, i hangaia hei tiaki i ngā kamupene o roto, ā, i runga i te tono a ngā kamupene o roto, kāore i te aro ki a Haina anake, engari ki ngā whenua matua o ngā kawemai. Ahakoa kāore e taea te aukati katoa i ngā kawemai, kāore e taea te karo i te whakahekenga o ngā utu kawemai ki tētahi taumata, ā, me tūpato hoki a Haina ki ngā rangahau ārai-tuku i Indonesia i te tau 2025.
I kōrerotia ake nei e mātou ko Āwherika, te wāhi e nui rawa atu ai ngā kaweake HDPE, ko Āwherika ki te Raki-mā-rāwhiti o Āhia, te wāhi e nui rawa atu ai ngā momo kaweake PP. Heoi, ki te whakatauritea ki Āwherika ki te Raki-mā-rāwhiti o Āhia, ko Āwherika te tuarua o ngā wāhanga o te LDPE me te poraka copolymerization. Nō reira, i whakanohoia e ngā ētita a Āwherika ki te tuarua o ngā wāhanga matua.
Ngā Painga: E mōhiotia whānuitia ana te hononga hohonu o Haina ki Āwherika, ā, kua maha ngā wā kua tae mai ki te āwhina i a Āwherika. E kiia ana e Haina me Āwherika he hononga rautaki whānui o te mahi tahi, he pūtake hohonu mō te whakahoahoa. E ai ki te kōrero i runga ake nei, kei te piki haere te tiakitanga hokohoko puta noa i te ao, i tēnei wā, he tino tūponotanga kāore a Āwherika e whai i te tere o te Hauāuru ki te tango i ēnei mahi ki a Haina, ā, i runga i tōna ake āhuatanga tuku me te tono, kāore ia e tautoko i te whakatinanatanga o ēnei mahi i tēnei wā. Ko te kaha whakaputa polypropylene o Āwherika i tēnei wā ko te 2.21 miriona tana ia tau, tae atu ki tētahi tipu 830,000 tana ia tau i Nigeria i tīmata i tēnei tau. Ko te kaha whakaputa polyethylene he 1.8 miriona tana ia tau, ko te HDPE katoa ko te 838,000 tana ia tau. Ki te whakatauritea ki te āhuatanga i Indonesia, ko te kaha whakaputa PP o Āwherika he 2.36 noa iho ngā wā i Indonesia, engari ko tōna taupori he tata ki te 5 ngā wā i Indonesia, engari he mea tika kia whakahuatia he teitei te reiti rawakore o Āwherika ki Indonesia, ā, he iti noa te kaha kai. Engari i te wā roa, he mākete nui tonu te pūmanawa.
Ngā Huakore: Kāore te umanga peeke o Awherika i te whanake, ā, he iti noa ngā tikanga whakatau. E rua ngā taha o ia moni, ā, ko ngā painga o Awherika ko ōna ngoikoretanga anō hoki, nā te mea me whai wā tonu ki te whakamatau i te pūmanawa o te heke mai, engari he iti tonu te tono o nāianei, e ai ki te kōrero i runga ake nei, kāore anō kia ranea te kaha hoko. Ā, ka kawemai a Awherika i te nuinga atu i te Middle East, ka waiho tō tātou whenua me ngā whai wāhitanga iti. Tuarua, nā te iti o te kaha o Awherika ki te whakahaere i ngā para kirihou, i roto i ngā tau, he maha ngā whenua kua whakaputa i ngā here me ngā aukati kirihou. I tēnei wā, e 34 ngā whenua kua whakaputa i te aukati i ngā putea kirihou kotahi te whakamahinga.
Mō Amerika ki te Tonga, ko te polypropylene te nuinga o tā Haina kaweake, i roto i te tauira kaweake mai i Hānuere ki Oketopa o tēnei tau, ko Amerika ki te Tonga te tuarua o ngā kaweake PP tuatahi, ko te tuatoru o ngā momo kaweake PP kē atu, me te tuatoru o ngā kaweake poraka copolymerization. I roto i ngā kaweake polypropylene, ko ngā kaweake kei roto i ngā mea e toru o runga. Ka kitea kei te noho a Amerika ki te Tonga i tētahi tūranga i roto i ngā kaweake polypropylene a Haina.
Ngā Painga: Kāore he taupatupatu hohonu i mahue i ngā whenua o Amerika ki te Tonga me Haina, kei te tata haere te mahi tahi a Haina me Brazil i roto i te ahuwhenua me te pūngao matomato, ko te hoa matua o Amerika ki te Tonga ko te United States mai i te taenga mai o Trump ki te mana ki te whakatakoto i ngā taake ki ngā taonga o te ao i puta ai hoki he raruraru i roto i te hokohoko a Amerika ki te Tonga me āna mahi hokohoko. Kei te piki haere hoki te kaupapa a ngā whenua o Amerika ki te Tonga ki te mahi tahi me tō tātou whenua i ia rā, i ia rā. Tuarua, he teitei ake te utu mākete toharite i Amerika ki te Tonga i te utu mākete toharite i tō tātou whenua mō te wā roa, ā, he nui ngā whai wāhitanga mō ngā Matapihi whakatau-ā-rohe me ngā hua nui.
Ngā Huakore: Pērā i te Tonga-mā-rāwhiti o Āhia, he tiakitanga hokohoko anō hoki kei Amerika ki te Tonga, ā, i tēnei tau i ārahi a Brazil i te whakatinanatanga o ngā taripa ki runga i te polyolefin kawemai mai i te 12.6% ki te 20%. He rite tonu te whāinga a Brazil ki tā Indonesia, kia tiakina tana ake ahumahi. Tuarua, ko Haina me Brazil, te rawhiti me te hauauru me ngā tuakoi raki me te tonga o ngā rua i tawhiti, he kaipuke roa. Ko te tikanga e 25-30 ngā rā e haere ai mai i te takutai hauauru o Amerika ki te Tonga ki Haina, me te 30-35 ngā rā e haere ai mai i te takutai rawhiti o Amerika ki te Tonga ki Haina. Nō reira, he nui te pānga o ngā utanga moana ki te matapihi kaweake. He rite tonu te kaha o te whakataetae, ko te United States me Canada te kaiārahi, ā, ko te Middle East me Korea ki te Tonga te whai.
Ahakoa e whakarārangihia ana e ngā ētita ngā kaha me ngā ngoikoretanga o ngā rohe kaweake matua, e whakarārangihia tonutia ana ēnei hei ngā rohe tipu nui o te tumanako. Ko tētahi take nui e ahu mai ana i ngā raraunga kaweake o mua mai i te tau kua hipa, tae atu ki ngā tau tata nei. Ko ngā raraunga taketake, ki tētahi taumata, e tohu ana i te putanga mai o ngā meka, ā, he tukanga roa tonu kia puta ngā huringa nui. Ki te hiahia kia hurihia te āhuatanga i roto i te wā poto, e whakapono ana te ētita me tutuki ēnei āhuatanga e whai ake nei:
1) Ngā pakanga tutu i te rohe, tae atu ki te pakarutanga o tētahi pakanga werawera, te pikinga ake o te wehewehe i te iwi mai i te iwi ki te hokohoko me ētahi atu mahi tino kaha.
2) Ka hurihia te tuku me te tono e ngā panonitanga nui o te tuku me te tono ā-rohe, engari kāore e taea te whakaoti i tēnei i roto i te wā poto. He roa te wā mai i te whakaputanga tuatahi tae noa ki te tohatoha katoa o te hua i te mākete.
3) Ko te tiakitanga hokohoko me ngā arai tāke e aro ana ki Haina anake. He rerekē ki ngā mahi i Indonesia me Brazil, ki te aro nui ngā tāke ki ngā taonga Haina anake, kaua ki ngā kawemai katoa, pērā i a Indonesia me Brazil i tēnei tau, ka pāngia ngā kaweake Hainamana e tētahi pānga, ā, ka whakawhitihia ngā taonga i waenga i ngā rohe.
Ko ēnei āhuatanga te mea tino mōrearea ki te hokohoko o te ao i ēnei rā. Ahakoa kāore anō kia tino tutukihia ngā āhuatanga o runga ake nei i tēnei wā, kei te hono tonu te mahi tahi o te ao, ā, me whakamahi i ngā huarahi rerekē. Engari kua piki haere te auau o te tiakitanga hokohoko me ngā pakanga ā-rohe i ngā tau tata nei. Me aro turuki hoki te pupuri me te ahunga whakamua i ngā wāhi kaweake mō ngā whanaketanga me ngā whai wāhitanga i ētahi atu rohe.
Wā tuku: Hakihea-20-2024