Tirohanga Whānui o te Mākete
Kei te uru te mākete kaweake polystyrene (PS) o te ao ki tētahi wāhanga whakarerekētanga i te tau 2025, me te matapaetia o ngā rahinga hokohoko ka eke ki te 8.5 miriona tāne metrika te uara he $12.3 piriona. E tohu ana tēnei i te tipu CAGR 3.8% mai i ngā taumata o te tau 2023, nā te whanaketanga o ngā tauira tono me ngā whakaritenga anō o te mekameka tuku ā-rohe.
Ngā Wāhanga Mākete Matua:
- GPPS (Crystal PS): 55% o ngā kaweake katoa
- HIPS (Pānga Nui): 35% o ngā kaweake
- EPS (PS Whakawhanui): 10% me te tere tipu i te 6.2% CAGR
Ngā Ahumahi Tauhokohoko ā-Rohe
Āhia-Moananui-a-Kiwa (72% o ngā kaweake o te ao)
- Haina:
- Ahakoa ngā ture taiao, e pupuri tonu ana i te 45% o te hea kaweake
- Ngā tāpiritanga kaha hou ki ngā kawanatanga o Zhejiang me Guangdong (1.2 miriona MT/tau)
- Ko ngā utu FOB e tumanakohia ana kei te $1,150-$1,300/MT
- Āhia ki te Tonga-mā-rāwhiti:
- Kei te puta ake a Vietnam me Mareia hei kaiwhakarato rerekē
- E matapaetia ana ka piki ake te kaweake ki te 18% nā te hurihanga o te hokohoko
- Utu whakataetae i waenga i te $1,100-$1,250/MT
Te Rawhiti o Waenganui (15% o ngā kaweake)
- Te whakamahi a Saudi Arabia me UAE i ngā painga o ngā rauemi whāngai
- Kei te whakanui ake te whare hanga hou o Sadara i te whakaputanga
- He whakataetae ngā utu mō CFR Europe i waenganui i te $1,350-$1,450/MT
Ūropi (8% o ngā kaweake)
- Arotahi ki ngā momo motuhake me ngā PS hangarua
- Kua heke te nui o ngā kaweake ki te 3% nā te aukati i te whakaputanga
- Utu nui mō ngā momo tauwhiro (+20-25%)
Ngā Ārahi me ngā Wero o te Tono
Ngā Rāngai Tipu:
- Ngā Auahatanga Tākai
- Te hiahia mō ngā GPPS mārama-teitei i roto i ngā takai kai kounga teitei (+9% YoY)
- EPS pumau mō ngā otinga takai tiaki
- Te Putanga Hanga
- Te tono mō te whakamarumaru EPS i ngā mākete o Āhia me te Rawhiti o Waenganui
- Ko ngā tono raima māmā e akiaki ana i te tipu 12%
- Ngā Hikohiko Kaihoko
- HIPS mō ngā whare taputapu me ngā taputapu tari
Ngā Herenga Mākete:
- E pā ana te aukati i te whakamahi kotahi i te kirihou ki te 18% o ngā tono PS tuku iho
- Te rerekētanga o ngā rauemi mata (te piki me te heke o ngā utu benzene i waenga i te 15-20%)
- Ka piki ake ngā utu whakahaere i runga i ngā huarahi matua mā te 25-30%
Te Hurihanga o te Oranga Tonutanga
Ngā Pānga Whakahaere:
- Ko te Ture Whakatakotoranga a te EU SUP e whakaiti ana i ngā kaweake PS mā te 150,000 MT ia tau
- Ngā kaupapa Whakawhanui Kawenga Kaihanga (EPR) e tāpiri ana i te 8-12% ki ngā utu
- Ngā ture hou mō ngā ihirangi hangarua (30% te iti rawa i ngā mākete matua)
Ngā Otinga Hou:
- Kei te tīmata ngā whare hangarua matū ki Ūropi/Āhia
- Ngā whanaketanga PS e hangai ana ki te koiora (5 ngā kaupapa whakamātautau e tumanakohia ana i te tau 2025)
- te utu rPS (PS hangarua) i te 15-20% ki runga ake i te rauemi hou
Tirohanga ki te Kaupapa Here mō te Utu me te Hokohoko
Ngā Auahatanga Utu:
- Ko ngā utu kaweake o Āhia e matapaetia ana kei te $1,100-$1,400/MT te awhe
- Ko ngā momo motuhake o Ūropi e $1,600-$1,800/MT te utu
- Ko ngā utu ōrite mō ngā kawemai o Amerika Latina kei te $1,500-$1,650/MT
Ngā Whanaketanga Kaupapahere Tauhokohoko:
- Ngā takoha ārai-tuku pea ki te PS Hainamana i roto i ngā mākete maha
- Ngā whakaritenga tuhinga hou mō te oranga tonutanga
- Ngā whakaaetanga hokohoko pai ake e tautoko ana i ngā kaiwhakarato ASEAN
Ngā Taunakitanga Rautaki
- Rautaki Hua:
- Te neke ki ngā tono uara nui ake (hauora, hikohiko)
- Te whakawhanake i ngā whakatakotoranga kai e tutuki ana i ngā whakaritenga
- Hokohoko ki ngā taumata PS kua whakarerekētia me ngā kōtaha pumau pai ake
- Te Kanorau Whenua:
- Whanui ake i ngā mākete tipu o Āwherika me Āhia ki te Tonga
- Whakatūria he hononga hangarua ki Ūropi/Amerika Te Raki
- Whakamahia ngā FTA ASEAN mō ngā painga taripa
- Te Hiranga Whakahaere:
- Arotauhia ngā mahi whakahaere ratonga mā roto i ngā rautaki tata-tawhiti
- Whakatinanahia te aroturuki mamati mō te tutuki i ngā whakaritenga mō te oranga tonutanga
- Te whakawhanake i ngā pūnaha porowhita kati mō ngā mākete utu nui
He nui ngā wero me ngā whai wāhitanga kei te mākete kaweake PS i te tau 2025. Ko ngā kamupene e angitu ana ki te whakatere i te whakawhiti oranga tonutanga me te whakamahi i ngā tono hou ka tū hei wāhi mākete mō tēnei whenua e whanake haere ana.
Wā tuku: Hōngongoi-07-2025