SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Kua tīmata anō ngā mahi arumoni a te kamupene hiko karihi o Hapani, a Tokyo Electric Power Co (TEPCO) i te teihana hiko karihi o Kashiwazaki-Kariwa (KK) Unit 6, he wā hou, he wā whakahirahira hoki i roto i ngā mahi ki te whakaiti i te tono LNG i roto i te rāngai hiko o Hapani i a te whenua e aro nui ana ki ngā pēhanga tono hou pea, me te rapu i ngā puna whakaputa hou.
I te 16 o Paenga-whāwhā, i kī a TEPCO kua tīmata anō ngā mahi arumoni i te tauhohenga wai kohua 1.35GW whai muri i te whiwhinga o ngā tiwhikete whakaū i mua i te whakamahinga me te whakaaetanga tirotiro mai i te Mana Whakahaere Matūriki o Hapani (NRA).
I tīmata anō te whakaputanga arumoni i te 4:00 pm te wā rohe, koinei te wāhanga karihi tuatahi e mahi ana i te papaanga o KK mai i te tau 2012 whai muri i te katinga o ngā tipu hiko karihi katoa o te whenua whai muri i te aituā o te tipu karihi Fukushima Daiichi e whakahaerehia ana e TEPCO i puta mai i tētahi tsunami nui i te marama o Poutū-te-rangi 2011.
I kī ngā kaiuru mākete ko te tīmatanga anō o te Wāhanga 6 o KK — te whare karihi kotahi nui rawa atu i Hapani mēnā ka taea e ngā wāhanga e whitu te whakamahi, he mea kāore pea i te tino tūpono tae noa ki tēnei wā, ko te Wāhanga 7 anake ka taea i roto i te tau, i ngā tau e rua rānei e haere ake nei — ka whakakore tika i te whakaputanga hau i roto i te rohe tuku a TEPCO, inā koa i ngā wā pakihiwi me te raumati ina taea e te whakaputanga karihi te whakahaere i ngā tauwehenga kaha teitei.
Ina whakamahia katoatia, ka taea e te KK Unit 6 te whakaiti i te tahunga LNG whānui me te whakaaro ka whakakapia te putanga o te tāpine hau huringa-whakakotahi, e ai ki ngā whakatau a ngā kaihokohoko me ngā kaitātari, ahakoa ko te nekehanga tuturu ka whakawhirinaki ki ngā wātaka motumotu, te tono whatunga, me ngā ōhanga tuku wera.
I kī ētahi kaihokohoko mā te tīmatanga anō ka taea te whakaiti i te kohinga LNG a Hapani mā te kotahi ki te rua ngā utanga ia marama i ia tau, me te whakaaro ka pumau te putanga karihi.
"Mā te tīmatanga anō o te KK Unit 6 ka whakaiti i te pēhanga ki ngā whakaritenga kawenga hiko mō te LNG i te rawhiti o Hapani," te kī a tētahi kaihokohoko Hapani. "Ko te tikanga he iti ake te pēhanga ki ngā hiahia LNG ā-wāhi, ahakoa kāore pea tētahi waeine anake e kitea wawetia i roto i te whakaiti i ngā mahi hoko ā-wāhi, hoko anō rānei."
Engari ko ngā akoranga i akohia mai i ngā arai ture, te uauatanga o te tīmatanga anō o tētahi tauhohenga me te whakaputanga o ngā hoa tautoko i muri i te tata ki te 14 tau i waho o te pūnaha, e kōrero ana i te kōrero whānui mō te tīmatanga anō o ētahi atu tekau mā waru ngā waeine karihi kua kore e whakamahia, ā, e taea ana te whakamahi anō i te pito o runga, me te kore e kōrero mō ngā tipu karihi hou.
"Ko te neke ki te tīmata anō i tētahi tipu karihi i Hapani he tikanga mō ngā whakarongo a te iwi whānui, te tirotiro ture me ngā whakaaro tōrangapū ā-rohe tairongo," te kī a tētahi kaitātari pūngao i Hingaiapoa.
"I kite mātou i tēnā me KK; me whakatau te kāwana, ā, me whai i ngā momo whakawhitiwhiti kōrero katoa. Engari, tera pea ko te raupapa o ngā āhuatanga ohorere pūngao mai i te tsunami o te tau 2011, te pakanga o Ukraine, ā, inaianei me te Middle East – ka taea te whai whakaaro pai ake ki ngā kaupapa here me ngā tirohanga a te marea."
E 15 ngā tipu karihi kei a Hapani i te ipurangi me KK, ā, i runga i te tere o te tiaki me te whakahaere, ka taea e ia te whakahaere i te kaha karihi ki te 33 GW pea, e ai ki ngā raraunga hou mai i te US Energy Information Administration (EIA).
E 24 atu ngā tipu hiko karihi kua kati mō ake tonu atu.
NGĀ HIKOI E WHAI AKE NEI
Ko te hiahia nui ki te hau o Hapani te kaupapa o ngā tautohetohe kaupapa here, ā, he hononga ki tana rāngai hanga whānui i roto i ngā tereina hiko, ngā kaipuke me ngā hanganga pūngao – me ngā puna wahie whakahou me ngā puna wahie kore-para e kōrerohia ana i roto i ētahi atu kaupapa tango waro pēnei i te hopu me te rokiroki waro (CCS).
I te wā o te pakanga ki Īrāna, i tahuri ngā kaikawe mai i te pūngao puta noa i Āhia, tae atu ki a Hapani, ki ngā mahere haumarutanga pūngao e whakaatu ana i ngā tohu mārama kua whakaitihia e ngā kaihoko LNG te whakamahinga, e rapu ana ngā kaiwhakamahi mutunga i tētahi huringa ki te waro me te karihi i ngā wā e taea ai, me te kite i ngā mahi mākete e pupuri ana i te taumata mōrearea ā-ao.
Ka whakapai ake anō hoki te tīmatanga anō o te karihi i te utu whakaputanga a TEPCO, nā te mea he iti ake te utu whakaputanga karihi i te whakaputanga LNG i raro i ngā whakaaro utu wahie me te waro o nāianei. E matapaetia ana e ngā kaitātari ka pāngia ngā haora tukunga hau me te horapa o ngā mura i te rawhiti o Hapani e te pikinga ake o te wātea o te karihi.
Ki ngā kaihoko LNG, ko te hokinga mai o ngā waeine karihi utaina nui e whakaara ake ana i ngā āwangawanga mō te ngāwari o te tono mō te wā roa i Hapani, inā koa ko ngā whakahoutanga kirimana te mea nui rawa atu i ngā whakawhitinga kōrero hoko e tata ana ki te mutunga o te tekau tau, e ai ki tētahi kaiwhakahaere takenga LNG ki te ICIS.
"E whakaatu ana tēnei ahakoa he maha ngā arai ka puta - ka taea e Hapani te tere ake i te whakaputanga hiko karihi mā te akiaki kaha a te kāwanatanga, ā, ka whakakore i ētahi tono."
I roto i ngā tau e rua e whai ake nei, ka taea e ngā mahi whakaara anō a Hapani i ngā pūngao karihi te kite i te tīmatanga o ngā wae matua e toru: Tomari‑3 (0.91 GW, Hokkaido Electric Power), Tokai Daini (1.16 GW, Japan Atomic Power Company), me Onagawa‑3 (0.83 GW, Tohoku Electric Power).
Ko ngā tīmatanga anō i tua atu i ēnei, ka nui ake te tūponotanga ka taka ki te wā 2027–28, ā, me tiro atu ki ēnei hei pikinga pea, kaua hei tumanakohanga uaua.
Kei te arotakehia tonutia te Tohoku Electric Higashidori Unit 1 (1.1 GW) e te NRA, ā, kei te haere tonu ngā whakahoutanga nui mō ngā tsunami me ngā ru whenua, ahakoa e kīia ana ko te tīmatanga anō o te "ngaru e whai ake nei".
Waihoki, kua oti te mahi hangarau a Shimane Unit 3 (1.37 GW Chugoku Electric), engari kua arotahi te kaiwhakahaere ki te tīmata anō i a Shimane‑2 i te tuatahi, ā, ko ngā take raupapatanga i te NRA, ko te tikanga kāore pea te Unit 3 e tīmata anō i mua i te tau 2027.
I tēnei wā, kua whakarērea e Chubu Electric ngā wawata ki te tīmata anō i Hamaoka mō te wā poto, kei reira tonu ngā Wāhanga 3–5 (3.6 GW) e kore e whakamahia i waenga i te tirotiro pakari i muri i te ru whenua i Fukushima me ngā raruraru ture mō te mōrearea o te raina hapa me te tsunami, ka waiho te kamupene hiko ki te taha o te huringa tīmatanga karihi o Hapani i tēnei wā.
Wā tuku: 21 Paenga-whāwhā 2026