Ka whakararuraru te pakanga o te Middle East i te umanga ethylene; ka heke pea te whakaputanga o te ao mā te neke atu i te 22 miriona tana i te tau 2026

I te Huihuinga Matūkai o te Ao, i kī a Walter Hart, te Upoko Ao o ngā Olefins i S&P Global Energy CERA, ka pā kino te katinga katoa o te Moana-a-Toi ki ngā kaihanga matūkai o Āhia. Ka kati ngā pihikete mamaoa i te Middle East, ā, ka whakaitihia ngā mahi a ētahi atu wheketere o Āhia nā te korenga o ngā rauemi kai.E matapaetia ana ka heke te hanga ethylene o te ao i te tau 2026 mā te 22 miriona tana, he ōrite ki te 12% o te putanga o te tau 2025.

Kua whakararuraru ngā taupatupatu hōia i te Moana-a-Kiwa i ngā tuku matū hinu. Tata ki te 29 miriona tana o te kaha ethylene ā-tau i te rohe o te Moana-a-Kiwa kei te kore e mahi i tēnei wā, ā, kua kati katoa ngā tipu i Īrāna, Kuwait me Qatar, me ētahi atu tipu o te Rawhiti o Waenganui e tata ana ki te iti rawa o te utu. Kua tapahia kētia e tēnei te whakaputanga ethylene ā-rohe mā te tata ki te 15 miriona tana.

E 35 miriona tāne te kaha o te ethylene o te Middle East, ā, tata ki te 6 miriona tāne o aua mea kei waho o te Moana-a-Kiwa o Pāhia. Ka toe mai tēnei29 miriona tana o te kaha ethylene o te Moana-nui-a-Kiwa kua kitea tikahei whakarato i ngā whakararuraru.

Kua horapa ngā ohorere o te mekameka tuku ki tua atu o te Moana-nui-a-Kiwa. Nā te korenga o te naphtha me te hinu mata i akiaki ngā whare matū hinu puta noa i Āhia ki te whakaiti i ngā tere oma. "Neke atu i te haurua o te kaha o te ao kua pāngia," te kī a Hart. Haunga ngā 29 miriona tana i pakaru i te Moana-nui-a-Kiwa, kua pāngia e te ngoikore o ngā rauemi kai tata ki te 105 miriona tana o te kaha ethylene i Āhia.

Ki te kore te rohe o te Moana-a-Kiwa, e ai ki ngā whakatau a Hart7–8 miriona tāne o te hanga ethylene o te aoka ngaro i tēnei tau nā ngā taumahatanga o te mekameka tuku. E whakaatu ana ngā raraunga i eke te hanga ethylene o te ao ki te 185 miriona tana i te tau 2025, me te kaha katoa e tata ana ki te 232 miriona tana.

Nā te pakanga i tino whakararuraru ngā kaweake a te Rawhiti o te polyethylene (PE) me te ethylene glycol (EG) ki Āhia, ā, kua whakararuraru hoki i ngā mekameka tuku mō ngā polyolefins, te polyester me te PET.

E matapaetia ana ka piki tonu te tono mō te ethylene mō te wā roa, engari he puhoi ake. E matapaetia ana e Hart kāore e tino ora ake ngā reiti whakahaere me ngā tawhē hua tae noa ki te tīmatanga ki waenganui o te tekau tau 2030, ina eke te tono piki haere me ngā tāpiringa kaha hou.